/* * Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more * contributor license agreements. See the NOTICE file distributed with * this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership. * The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0 * (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with * the License. You may obtain a copy of the License at * * http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 * * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and * limitations under the License. */ package org.apache.commons.math4.distribution; import org.apache.commons.math4.exception.NotStrictlyPositiveException; import org.apache.commons.math4.exception.util.LocalizedFormats; import org.apache.commons.numbers.gamma.RegularizedGamma; import org.apache.commons.math4.util.FastMath; import org.apache.commons.math4.util.MathUtils; import org.apache.commons.rng.UniformRandomProvider; import org.apache.commons.rng.sampling.distribution.DiscreteSampler; import org.apache.commons.rng.sampling.distribution.PoissonSampler; /** * Implementation of the Poisson distribution. * * @see <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution">Poisson distribution (Wikipedia)</a> * @see <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PoissonDistribution.html">Poisson distribution (MathWorld)</a> */ public class PoissonDistribution extends AbstractIntegerDistribution { /** * Default maximum number of iterations for cumulative probability calculations. * @since 2.1 */ public static final int DEFAULT_MAX_ITERATIONS = 10000000; /** * Default convergence criterion. * @since 2.1 */ public static final double DEFAULT_EPSILON = 1e-12; /** Serializable version identifier. */ private static final long serialVersionUID = -3349935121172596109L; /** Distribution used to compute normal approximation. */ private final NormalDistribution normal; /** Mean of the distribution. */ private final double mean; /** * Maximum number of iterations for cumulative probability. Cumulative * probabilities are estimated using either Lanczos series approximation * of {@link RegularizedGamma.P#value(double, double, double, int)} * or continued fraction approximation of * {@link RegularizedGamma.Q#value(double, double, double, int)}. */ private final int maxIterations; /** Convergence criterion for cumulative probability. */ private final double epsilon; /** * Creates a new Poisson distribution with specified mean. * * @param p the Poisson mean * @throws NotStrictlyPositiveException if {@code p <= 0}. */ public PoissonDistribution(double p) throws NotStrictlyPositiveException { this(p, DEFAULT_EPSILON, DEFAULT_MAX_ITERATIONS); } /** * Creates a new Poisson distribution with specified mean, convergence * criterion and maximum number of iterations. * * @param p Poisson mean. * @param epsilon Convergence criterion for cumulative probabilities. * @param maxIterations the maximum number of iterations for cumulative * probabilities. * @throws NotStrictlyPositiveException if {@code p <= 0}. * @since 2.1 */ public PoissonDistribution(double p, double epsilon, int maxIterations) throws NotStrictlyPositiveException { if (p <= 0) { throw new NotStrictlyPositiveException(LocalizedFormats.MEAN, p); } mean = p; this.epsilon = epsilon; this.maxIterations = maxIterations; normal = new NormalDistribution(p, FastMath.sqrt(p), NormalDistribution.DEFAULT_INVERSE_ABSOLUTE_ACCURACY); } /** * Creates a new Poisson distribution with the specified mean and * convergence criterion. * * @param p Poisson mean. * @param epsilon Convergence criterion for cumulative probabilities. * @throws NotStrictlyPositiveException if {@code p <= 0}. * @since 2.1 */ public PoissonDistribution(double p, double epsilon) throws NotStrictlyPositiveException { this(p, epsilon, DEFAULT_MAX_ITERATIONS); } /** * Creates a new Poisson distribution with the specified mean and maximum * number of iterations. * * @param p Poisson mean. * @param maxIterations Maximum number of iterations for cumulative * probabilities. * @since 2.1 */ public PoissonDistribution(double p, int maxIterations) { this(p, DEFAULT_EPSILON, maxIterations); } /** * Get the mean for the distribution. * * @return the mean for the distribution. */ public double getMean() { return mean; } /** {@inheritDoc} */ @Override public double probability(int x) { final double logProbability = logProbability(x); return logProbability == Double.NEGATIVE_INFINITY ? 0 : FastMath.exp(logProbability); } /** {@inheritDoc} */ @Override public double logProbability(int x) { double ret; if (x < 0 || x == Integer.MAX_VALUE) { ret = Double.NEGATIVE_INFINITY; } else if (x == 0) { ret = -mean; } else { ret = -SaddlePointExpansion.getStirlingError(x) - SaddlePointExpansion.getDeviancePart(x, mean) - 0.5 * FastMath.log(MathUtils.TWO_PI) - 0.5 * FastMath.log(x); } return ret; } /** {@inheritDoc} */ @Override public double cumulativeProbability(int x) { if (x < 0) { return 0; } if (x == Integer.MAX_VALUE) { return 1; } return RegularizedGamma.Q.value((double) x + 1, mean, epsilon, maxIterations); } /** * Calculates the Poisson distribution function using a normal * approximation. The {@code N(mean, sqrt(mean))} distribution is used * to approximate the Poisson distribution. The computation uses * "half-correction" (evaluating the normal distribution function at * {@code x + 0.5}). * * @param x Upper bound, inclusive. * @return the distribution function value calculated using a normal * approximation. */ public double normalApproximateProbability(int x) { // calculate the probability using half-correction return normal.cumulativeProbability(x + 0.5); } /** * {@inheritDoc} * * For mean parameter {@code p}, the mean is {@code p}. */ @Override public double getNumericalMean() { return getMean(); } /** * {@inheritDoc} * * For mean parameter {@code p}, the variance is {@code p}. */ @Override public double getNumericalVariance() { return getMean(); } /** * {@inheritDoc} * * The lower bound of the support is always 0 no matter the mean parameter. * * @return lower bound of the support (always 0) */ @Override public int getSupportLowerBound() { return 0; } /** * {@inheritDoc} * * The upper bound of the support is positive infinity, * regardless of the parameter values. There is no integer infinity, * so this method returns {@code Integer.MAX_VALUE}. * * @return upper bound of the support (always {@code Integer.MAX_VALUE} for * positive infinity) */ @Override public int getSupportUpperBound() { return Integer.MAX_VALUE; } /** * {@inheritDoc} * * The support of this distribution is connected. * * @return {@code true} */ @Override public boolean isSupportConnected() { return true; } /**{@inheritDoc} */ @Override public IntegerDistribution.Sampler createSampler(final UniformRandomProvider rng) { return new IntegerDistribution.Sampler() { /** * Poisson distribution sampler. */ private final DiscreteSampler sampler = new PoissonSampler(rng, mean); /**{@inheritDoc} */ @Override public int sample() { return sampler.sample(); } }; } }