/** * Global Sensor Networks (GSN) Source Code * Copyright (c) 2006-2016, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne (EPFL) * * This file is part of GSN. * * GSN is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or * (at your option) any later version. * * GSN is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the * GNU General Public License for more details. * * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License * along with GSN. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>. * * File: src/ch/epfl/gsn/utils/models/ModelExecuter.java * * @author Saket Sathe * @author Sofiane Sarni * */ package ch.epfl.gsn.utils.models; import java.io.FileNotFoundException; import java.io.FileReader; import java.io.IOException; import java.util.ArrayList; import java.util.List; import au.com.bytecode.opencsv.CSVReader; import ch.epfl.gsn.utils.models.jgarch.armamodel.ARModel; import ch.epfl.gsn.utils.models.jgarch.garchmodel.GarchModel; import ch.epfl.gsn.utils.models.jgarch.util.ArrayUtils; import ch.epfl.gsn.utils.models.jgarch.wrappers.REngineManager; public class ModelExecuter { // Time series on which value and variance predictions are to be performed. private static double[] tseries; private static int windowSize=100; public static void main(String[] args) throws FileNotFoundException, IOException { List<Double> ts = new ArrayList<Double>(); // Read time series from a file try { CSVReader reader = new CSVReader(new FileReader("/tmp/nyse.dat"),' '); String [] nextLine; while ((nextLine = reader.readNext()) != null) { // nextLine[] is an array of values from the line for (String s: nextLine){ System.out.println(s); ts.add(Double.parseDouble(s)); } } } catch (FileNotFoundException e){ System.out.println("Exception caused:" + e.getMessage()); } catch (IOException e) { System.out.println("Exception caused:" + e.getMessage()); } // Initialize holders arrays to hold the predicted value, predicted +ve variance (sigma^2_t) // and predicted -ve variance (-sigma^2_t) double [] predUVar = new double[ts.size()+1]; double [] predLVar = new double[ts.size()+1]; double [] predValue = new double[ts.size()+1]; // will them with NaNs until the windowSize is reached for (int i=0; i < windowSize; i++) { predUVar[i] = Double.NaN; predLVar[i] = Double.NaN; predValue[i] = Double.NaN; } // Sliding Window for (int i = windowSize -1;i < ts.size();i++){ List<Double> tsW = ts.subList(i-windowSize+1, i); Object[] ts1 = tsW.toArray(); // window of readings tseries = ArrayUtils.objArrayToDoubleArray(ts1); // create and execute AR model ARModel ar = new ARModel(tseries); ar.run(); // predict next value from AR model double[] arPred = ar.getArPreds(); predValue[i+1] = arPred[0]; // Get residuals from AR model and give them to GARCH model double[] arResid = ar.getArResiduals(); GarchModel gm = new GarchModel(arResid); gm.run(); // Predict +ve and -ve variance from GARCH model. predUVar[i+1] = gm.getPredUVar(); predLVar[i+1] = gm.getPredLVar(); System.out.println(gm.getPredUVar()); System.out.println(gm.getPredLVar()); } REngineManager rengineManager = REngineManager.getInstance(); rengineManager.endEngine(); } }