/** * Copyright (C) 2009 - present by OpenGamma Inc. and the OpenGamma group of companies * * Please see distribution for license. */ package com.opengamma.analytics.financial.timeseries.analysis; import org.apache.commons.lang.Validate; import com.opengamma.analytics.math.function.Function1D; import com.opengamma.analytics.math.statistics.distribution.NormalDistribution; import com.opengamma.timeseries.DoubleTimeSeries; import com.opengamma.util.ArgumentChecker; /** * */ public class MovingAverageTimeSeriesOrderIdentifier { private final int _maxOrder; private final double _criticalValue; private final Function1D<DoubleTimeSeries<?>, double[]> _calculator = new AutocorrelationFunctionCalculator(); public MovingAverageTimeSeriesOrderIdentifier(final int maxOrder, final double level) { if (maxOrder < 1) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Maximum order must be greater than zero"); } if (!ArgumentChecker.isInRangeExcludingLow(0, 1, level)) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Level must be between 0 and 1"); } _maxOrder = maxOrder; _criticalValue = new NormalDistribution(0, 1).getInverseCDF(1 - level / 2.); } public int getOrder(final DoubleTimeSeries<?> ts) { Validate.notNull(ts); if (ts.isEmpty()) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Time series was empty"); } if (ts.size() < _maxOrder) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Number of data points lower than the maximum order to calculate"); } final double[] acf = _calculator.evaluate(ts); final int n = ts.size(); final double bound = _criticalValue / Math.sqrt(n); for (int i = _maxOrder; i > 0; i--) { if (Math.abs(acf[i]) > bound) { return i; } } throw new IllegalArgumentException("Could not find order of series; no significant autocorrelations"); } }