/* * File: ConditionalProbability.java * Authors: Tom Brounstein * Company: Sandia National Laboratories * Project: Cognitive Foundry * * Copyright Apir 2, 2014, Sandia Corporation. * Under the terms of Contract DE-AC04-94AL85000, there is a non-exclusive * license for use of this work by or on behalf of the U.S. Government. * Export of this program may require a license from the United States * Government. See CopyrightHistory.txt for complete details. * */ package gov.sandia.cognition.statistics.bayesian; import gov.sandia.cognition.annotation.PublicationReference; import gov.sandia.cognition.annotation.PublicationType; import gov.sandia.cognition.statistics.ComputableDistribution; import java.util.ArrayList; import java.util.Collection; /** * A class for finding the conditional probability of two elements, or one element and a collection of other elements. * @author trbroun * @since 3.4.2 * @param <DataType> The data type of the elements. */ @PublicationReference( author="Wikipedia", title="Conditional Probability", type=PublicationType.WebPage, year=2014, url="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability" ) public class ConditionalProbability<DataType> { /** * Constructor for new Conditional Probability object. */ public ConditionalProbability() { } /** * Computes the conditional probability between a collection of objects and a new object. * @param prior The collection of objects that's conditioned on. If conditional probability is thought of as "A given B", this is the B. * @param posterior The new object; finding its probability given the prior. This is the "A" in the conditional probability definition. * @param priorDistribution The distribution which the prior is over. * @param posteriorDistribution The distribution which the posterior is over. If the prior contains n elements, this is a distribution over collections of size n+1 * @return The double representing the conditional probability. */ public double computeConditionalProbability(Collection<DataType> prior, DataType posterior, ComputableDistribution<Collection<DataType>> priorDistribution, ComputableDistribution<Collection<DataType>> posteriorDistribution) { Collection<DataType> realPosterior = new ArrayList<DataType>(prior); realPosterior.add(posterior); double numerator = posteriorDistribution.getProbabilityFunction().evaluate(realPosterior); double denominator = priorDistribution.getProbabilityFunction().evaluate(prior); if (denominator == 0) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Prior does not appear in prior distribution."); } return numerator/denominator; } /** * Computes the conditional probability between two objects. * @param prior The object that's conditioning the posterior. If conditional probability is thought of as "A given B", this is the B. * @param posterior The object whose probability is based off the prior. This is the "A" in the conditional probability definition. * @param priorDistribution A distribution for the objects. * @param posteriorDistribution A distribution for all pairs of objects. * @return The double representing the conditional probability. */ public double computeConditionalProbability(DataType prior, DataType posterior, ComputableDistribution<DataType> priorDistribution, ComputableDistribution<Collection<DataType>> posteriorDistribution) { Collection<DataType> realPosterior = new ArrayList<DataType>(); realPosterior.add(prior); realPosterior.add(posterior); double numerator = posteriorDistribution.getProbabilityFunction().evaluate( realPosterior); double denominator = priorDistribution.getProbabilityFunction().evaluate(prior); if (denominator == 0) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Prior does not appear in prior distribution."); } return numerator/denominator; } /** * Computes the conditional probability between two objects. This is used when the data type contains the historical data. * @param prior The object that's conditioning the posterior. If conditional probability is thought of as "A given B", this is the B. * @param posterior The object whose probability is based off the prior. This is the "A" in the conditional probability definition. * @param priorDistribution A distribution for the objects. * @param posteriorDistribution A distribution for all pairs of objects. * @return The double representing the conditional probability. */ public double computeConditionalProbabilityWhenDataTypeHasHistoricalData(DataType prior, DataType posterior, ComputableDistribution<DataType> priorDistribution, ComputableDistribution<DataType> posteriorDistribution) { double numerator = posteriorDistribution.getProbabilityFunction().evaluate( posterior); double denominator = priorDistribution.getProbabilityFunction().evaluate(prior); if (denominator == 0) { throw new IllegalArgumentException("Prior does not appear in prior distribution."); } return numerator/denominator; } }